Working Papers



Longevity Beliefs and Retirement Planning: Evidence from an Information Experiment and Expert Forecasts
Current Version: here
Submitted (with Claudia Curi, Francesco Nicolini, Matteo Ploner, and Mirco Tonin)


Fiscal Multipliers under Natural Disasters
Current Version: here

Submitted (with Céline Poilly and Erica Perego)

Gender Differences in Pension Investment: The Role of Biased Advice
Current Version: here

Submitted (with Claudia Curi, Matteo Ploner, and Mirco Tonin)

Young Firms under Pressure: Heterogeneous Investment Responses to a Trade Shock

Current Version: here
Submitted (with Katharina Erhardt)

Announcement effects of fiscal policy: How firms update expectations in real time
(with Vera Eichenauer, Remo Gurtner, and Jan-Egbert Sturm)

The Effect of Exogenous Variation in Labor Market Participation on Care Work
Submitted (with Linda Ghirardello)

Business-cycle Dependent Effects of Uncertainty Shocks: The Role of Capital Irreversibility
Current Version: here, previous here, early version
Revise and Resubmit, Macroeconomic Dynamics

Fiscal Responses to Monetary Policy: Insights From a Survey Among Government Officials
Submitted (with Heiner Mikosch, Samad Sarferaz and Armin Steinbach)




Publications


Uncertainty Shocks, Adjustment Costs and Firm Beliefs: Evidence From a Representative Survey
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2025, 17(3), pp. 36-73, (with Heiner Mikosch and Samad Sarferaz)

Measuring Macroeconomic Uncertainty: A Cross-Country Analysis
European Economic Review, 2023, 153, 104383, (with Samad Sarferaz)
Download Data: here

Measuring Knightian Uncertainty
Empirical Economics, 2021, 61, pp. 2113–2141 (with David Iselin)

The Effects of Policy Uncertainty on Investment: Evidence from the Unexpected Acceptance of a Far-Reaching Referendum in Switzerland 
European Economic Review, 2018, 104, pp. 38–67 (with Klaus Abberger, Michael Siegenthaler and Jan-Egbert Sturm)

Exchange rate uncertainty and firm investment plans evidence from Swiss survey data
Journal of Macroeconomics, 2017, 51, pp. 1–27 (with Garret Binding)






Work in Progress


You die, I live: Longevity Beliefs, Financial Knowledge and Retirement Planning
with Claudia Curi, Francesco Nicolini, Matteo Ploner, and Mirco Tonin